One thing that’s clear here at CTIA is the velocity of mobile technology is something we’ve never seen before. The speed at which something goes from being cutting edge to stale bread is staggering.
I’ve talked in the past about how the diversity of platforms in the mobile eco-system is not sustainable.
What’s rapidly emerging are four trends.
1. There isn’t room for ten mobile platforms (at my last count) to survive long term. Consolidation is happening now.
2. One platform will not dominate the mobile space as WIndows did on the PC
3. The market will shake out to three strong players sooner than people expect
4. The rate and pace of the market means it’s too early to call the three that survive (although that’s becoming clearer to me). A runner that stumbles can change the game overnight.